build with HISTORY, not HYPE.
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build with HISTORY, not HYPE.
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- How It WorksSalary-Based DFS Research
Every DFS Play Starts With The Price.
SmashTracker is built on one simple idea: DraftKings points only matter in relation to salary. A player does not help you because he is talented. He helps you when his score beats the salary requirement your lineup needs.
The Core QuestionWhat does this salary actually require?
Projections estimate what could happen.Smash history shows how often similar salary demands have already been beaten.Roster value comes from the gap between price and payoff.The Value Thresholds
SmashTracker measures players against salary-based scoring lines. These thresholds help separate useful scores from tournament-changing scores.
2.5xJust MissedA useful context marker. It shows players who often come close to value even when they do not fully clear the key GPP thresholds.
3xBaseline ValueThe starting point. A 3x outcome usually keeps a lineup alive, but it may not be enough to separate in large-field tournaments.
4xTournament ValueThe main GPP signal. Players with strong 4x history have shown they can produce a score that actually helps lineups climb.
5xTrue SmashThe slate-breaking zone. A 5x score can change roster construction and create the kind of leverage needed to win tournaments.
How SmashTracker Works
The method is built to keep the process clean: start with current salary, compare it to historical production, then classify the player by salary-adjusted evidence.
1Start With This Week’s Salary
Every player is evaluated against his current DraftKings main-slate salary. The price creates the scoring target.
2Calculate The Lines
Salary is converted into 2.5x, 3x, 4x, and 5x scoring thresholds. These are the scores the player needs to justify the price.
3Check Historical DK Scores
The player’s previous DraftKings scoring sample is measured against this week’s salary lines.
4Build Hit Rates
SmashTracker shows how often the player cleared each threshold, creating the historical 3x, 4x, and 5x hit rates used for evaluation.
5Interpret the Smash History
Read the 3x, 4x, and 5x hit rates together with sample size, salary and positional context. Strong history is evidence—not a prediction.
6Add Current Week Context
Combine Smash History with projections, ownership, injuries, role, usage, game environment and contest strategy before making a lineup decision.
© 2026 Boomtown Media, LLC and Smash Tracker. All Rights Reserved. Smash Tracker is not affiliated with DraftKings or the NFL.
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